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Forecasting with a Furry Prophet: How Accurate Are The Groundhog's Predictions?

If Punxsutawney Phil see's his shadow this year, as the legend goes, that means six more weeks of winter weather lay ahead; no shadow indicates an early spring.


When is Groundhog Day?

Groundhog Day is on February 2nd every year. This year, Groundhog Day will be on a Sunday.


So, how accurate has Punxsutawney Phil been at predicting an early Spring?

The answer? He’s terribly inaccurate. Punxsutawney Phil has been predicting whether we will have six more weeks of winter since 1887. According to the Groundhog Club's records, during that time he has predicted six more weeks of winter 104 times, and an early spring only 20 times. According to Stormfax, Phil has only been right 39 percent of the time.


This information has been adapted from www.livescience.com.



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